As part of a new daily feature at MLB.com, we’ll be breaking down every matchup on the schedule to help give fantasy players an edge, whether it’s in daily contests or season-long leagues.
The “Fantasy Daily Dish” will break down every starting pitcher on the slate, as well as all of the notable hitters in that particular game. We’ll dive into all the specifics of a given matchup looking for everything from batters who thrive against certain pitch types to hot/cold streaks to platoon splits — and everything in between.
Here’s a look at every matchup on Tuesday’s schedule:
Dodgers (Urías) at Mariners (Gonzales), 4:10 p.m. ET
Dodgers SP: Julio Urías, LHP
Key stat(s): 27.0 hard-hit percentage since 2019 (second-best in MLB)
2021 stats: 2-0, 3.86 ERA, 19.5 K%
Breakdown: Urías stumbled a bit in his last start, allowing five runs off seven hits (including two homers) over six innings against the Rockies. Still, he continues to limit hard contact this season, continuing a trend from recent seasons. He ranked among the league leaders in that category in both 2019 (24.9%) and ’20 (28.6%). The most encouraging sign, however, is that hitters are 0-for-19 with six strikeouts against his changeup — the one pitch that gave Urías problems (.316 opponents’ BA) last season.
Mitch Haniger: Has reached base in 15 of 17 games this season; hitting .319 with a .932 OPS.
Kyle Lewis: Expected to make season debut (right knee) after earning 2020 AL Rookie of the Year Award.
Kyle Seager: Despite being a left-handed hitter, Seager has an .845 OPS vs. LHP since 2019 (.756 OPS vs. RHP).
Mariners SP: Marco Gonzales, LHP
Key stat(s): Eight barrels allowed (tied for most by any pitcher)
2021 stats: 1-1, 8.22 ERA, 18.1 K%
Breakdown: After getting tagged for 12 runs off 17 hits over just 10 1/3 innings in his first two starts, Gonzales took a step in the right direction his last time out (two runs off three hits over five innings vs. the Orioles). That said, he still walked two batters against the O’s, and he’s now walked seven batters in just 15 1/3 innings — matching his total from all of last season (69 2/3 innings). Along with his atypical control issues, Gonzales has allowed an MLB-high six home runs this season.
Corey Seager: .782 career OPS vs. left-handed pitchers (.905 vs. RHP).
Mookie Betts: 6-for-25 (.240) with one homer and zero stolen bases in six games since returning from back injury (hit .348 with a homer and two stolen bases in five games before injury).
Justin Turner: Has reached base safely in 14 of 15 games this season; hitting .407 with five homers and a 1.250 OPS this season.
White Sox (Rodón) at Indians (Plesac), 6:10 p.m. ET
White Sox SP: Carlos Rodón, LHP
Key stat(s): 38 swings and misses this season
2021 stats: 2-0, 0.00 ERA, 32.0 K%
Breakdown: Rodón takes on the Indians less than a week after no-hitting them. He was absolutely dominant against Cleveland, striking out seven and allowing only one baserunner — a hit batter with one out in the ninth — en route to etching his name into the record book. It wasn’t just that outing, though, as Rodón also looked stellar in his 2021 debut, striking out nine over five innings of two-hit ball against the Mariners. The White Sox could play it a bit safe with Rodón in this one after he threw 114 pitches in his no-hitter on Wednesday, but finally healthy, he’s been lights out on the mound this season.
Eddie Rosario: 0-for-14 with eight strikeouts in his career vs. Rodón.
José Ramírez: Two homers in last four games (at least one hit in each) after going 0-for-17 in previous five games.
Indians SP: Zach Plesac, RHP
Key stat(s): .330 opponents’ BA vs. four-seamer since start of last season
2021 stats: 1-2, 5.27 ERA, 17.2 K%
Breakdown: The White Sox jumped all over Plesac his last time out, scoring six runs off seven hits and knocking him out of the game in the first innings. Plesac managed to record only two outs while his counterpart, Rodón, went on to throw a no-hitter. Cleveland’s right-hander continues to struggle with his four-seamer, despite it being his most-used pitch (43.8% of his pitches). Opposing hitters are 7-for-19 (.368) with a home run against the offering this season after hitting .321 with five homersa and a .577 slugging percentage vs. his four-seamer last year.
Notable White Sox hitters
Tim Anderson: 9-for-18 with three stolen bases in four games since returning from strained left hamstring.
José Abreu: 2-for-12 (.167) with three K’s lifetime vs. Plesac.
Yermín Mercedes: 4-for-19 (.211) in last five games after going 19-for-38 (.500) in first 10 games. Homered off Plesac in only meeting.
Twins (Shoemaker) at Athletics (Manaea), 6:30 p.m. ET (Game 1)
Twins SP: Matt Shoemaker, RHP
Key stat(s): .154 opponents’ BA vs. splitter since 2020
2021 stats: 1-0, 4.09 ERA, 26.1 K%
Breakdown: Shoemaker has a 4.09 ERA this season, but his xERA sits much higher at 7.08. The average exit velocity of the 32 balls put in play against Shoemaker is 95.0 mph — the second-highest against any pitcher in the Majors. His splitter has still been a reliable pitch, with opponents going just 3-for-16 (.188) with seven strikeouts against the pitch. That comes after he held opposing batters to a .143 average against his splitter — his most-used pitch — last season.
Mitch Moreland: 5-for-12 (.417) with five extra-base hits (three homers, two doubles) vs. Shoemaker.
Matt Chapman: Hitting .186 with a .692 OPS this season; 86.7 mph average exit velocity (down from 93.6 mph in 2020).
Matt Olson: 9-for-24 (.375) with three homers in last seven games.
A’s SP: Sean Manaea, LHP
Key stat(s): 57.5% sinker usage
2021 stats: 1-1, 4.32 ERA, 21.7 K%
Breakdown: Manaea has always relied heavily on his sinker, and this year has been no different. He’s throwing it 57.5% of the time, though he’s already allowed three homers off the pitch this year (on just 33 balls in play) after serving up only three homers on the 96 sinkers that were put in play last season. The rest of the numbers are pretty similar to last year, however, with the average velocity (91.5 mph) actually up from last season (90.4 mph).
Nelson Cruz: .963 career OPS vs. LHP (.847 vs. RHP); 7-for-19 (.368) with three homers and seven walks (.556 OBP, 1.398 OPS) lifetime vs. Manaea.
Max Kepler: .651 career OPS vs. LHP (.802 vs. RHP).
Josh Donaldson: .946 OPS, 5.9 HR% in career vs. LHP (.856 OPS, 4.6 HR% vs. RHP).
Twins (Berríos) at Athletics (Luzardo), Game 2
Twins SP: José Berríos, RHP
Key stat(s): 51.6% whiff rate vs. curveball this season
2021 stats: 2-1, 3.38 ERA, 41.7 K%
Breakdown: Berríos has been sharp this season, racking up 25 strikeouts in just 16 innings of work through three outings. That included a dozen K’s over six scoreless innings in his 2021 debut. Opposing hitters are just 1-for-12 against his curveball with 14 strikeouts and a 51.6% whiff rate.
A’s SP: Jesús Luzardo, LHP
Key stat(s): .611 opponents’ slugging percentage vs. four-seamer
2021 stats: 0-1, 8.31 ERA, 23.1 K%
Breakdown: Luzardo is leaning heavily on his four-seam fastball this season — throwing it on 62.1% of his pitches — but he’s not sneaking it past anyone. Opponents are 13-for-36 (.361) against the pitch with two homers, three doubles and just an 11.3% whiff rate. The velocity (95.0 mph average) is still there, and his curveball and changeup are still working (opponents are 3-for-16 against those two pitches this season), so he could turn around his 8.31 ERA if he can get opposing batters off his fastball.
Braves (Morton) at Yankees (Taillon), 6:35 p.m. ET
Braves SP: Charlie Morton, RHP
Key stat(s): 48.5% whiff rate with curveball
2021 stats: 1-1, 4.76 ERA, 29.6 K%
Breakdown: Morton racked up nine strikeouts in his last trip to the mound, but he also served up five runs off seven hits over six innings againt the Marlins. Opponents have done most of their damage against Morton off his hard stuff, while his curveball has been a dominant pitch. Opposing batters are just 3-for-19 (all singles) with nine strikeouts and a 48.5% whiff rate against Morton’s curve this season.
Aaron Judge: 4-for-25 (.160) with nine strikeouts in last seven games after hitting .346 over first six games; 1-for-13 with nine strikeouts lifetime vs. Morton.
Giancarlo Stanton: 3-for-26 (.115) over last seven games; hitting .176 with .609 OPS overall this season.
Brett Gardner: 8-for-22 (.364) with three homers vs. Morton.
Yankees SP: Jameson Taillon, RHP
Key stat(s): Zero two-seam fastballs this season
2021 stats: 0-1, 7.56 ERA, 26.3 K%
Breakdown: After a span of 707 days between starts, Taillon has seemingly ditched the two-seamer that he threw nearly 20% of the time in ’19. He’s instead relying primarily on three pitches — his four-seam fastball, slider and curveball — while mixing in just a few changeups. His changes are similar to the ones made by teammate Gerrit Cole after he — like Taillon — left the Pirates. Opponents are 5-for-15 (.333) with a pair of homers against Taillon’s 80 four-seam fastballs this season, matching the total he allowed off 151 four-seamers in 2019.
Ronald Acuña Jr.: Day to day with abdominal strain.
Freddie Freeman: 8-for-21 (.381) with eight walks (.567 OBP, 1.186 OPS) in last six games after hitting .143 over first 10 games.
Marcell Ozuna: 9-for-25 (.360) with a home run and seven RBIs over last six games after hitting .139 without an extra-base hit in first 10 games.
D-backs (Gallen) at Reds (Castillo), 6:40 p.m. ET
D-backs SP: Zac Gallen, RHP
Key stat(s): .182 opponents’ BA vs. four-seamer since 2020
2021 stats: 0-0, 2.25 ERA, 44.4 K%
Breakdown: Gallen was solid in his April 13 season debut, striking out eight of the 18 batters he faced over four innings. He limited the A’s to just one run off three hits, though a pair of walks helped run his pitch count up to 82 in just four frames. Opponents are just 18-for-99 (.182) against Gallen’s four-seam fastball since the start of last season, with only one of those 18 hits leaving the park. His curveball has also been nearly untouchable (4-for-42, 19 K’s), though he throws it only 15.7% of the time — his No. 4 pitch.
Tucker Barnhart: Has reached base in nine of 10 games; hitting .382 with a 1.109 OPS this season.
Joey Votto: Hitting .435 with three homers and a 1.437 OPS during six-game hitting streak.
Reds SP: Luis Castillo
Key stat(s): 215 strikeouts with changeup since 2019
2021 stats: 1-1, 7.04 ERA, 17.9 K%
Breakdown: Castillo had a disastrous Opening Day start, allowing 10 runs (eight earned) while failing to record a strikeout over 3 1/3 innings against the Cardinals, but he’s bounced back with 12 K’s over 12 frames in his two starts since. Castillo’s velocity remains down approximately 2 mph on each of his pitches, which will be worth watching moving forward. Regardless, he still has the most devastating changeup in the game, as his 215 strikeouts with his change are 94 more than the next-closest pitcher since 2019.
Kole Calhoun: Hitting .159 with a .276 SLG and 69 strikeouts vs. changeups since 2017.
Carson Kelly: Homered in three of last four games; hitting .400 with a 1.303 OPS in 11 games this season.
Pirates (Anderson) at Tigers (Fulmer), 6:40 p.m. ET
Pirates SP: Tyler Anderson, LHP
Key stat(s): Seven of eight homers he’s allowed since 2020 have come against four-seam fastball
2021 stats: 1-2, 4.02 ERA, 20.1 K%
Breakdown: Though he’s given up 19 hits in just 15 2/3 innings this season, Anderson has actually been getting hitters to chase pitches and swing and miss more than in past years. His opponents’ average exit velocity is also just 86.2 mph — well below the league average of 88.3 mph. The problem is he’s been done in by a trio of home runs, all of which have come against his four-seam fastball. Two of those were left out over the plate, while the other — a pitch scraped off the ground by Javier Báez — can’t be blamed on Anderson at all.
Jeimer Candelario: Though he’s a switch-hitter, Candelario has an .805 career OPS vs. LHP compared to a .698 OPS vs. RHP.
Akil Baddoo: 0-for-11 in last three gamers after going 10-for-27 (.370) with seven extra-base hits in first nine games.
Wilson Ramos: 3-for-19 (all singles) over last five games after hitting six homers in first nine games.
Tigers SP: Michael Fulmer, RHP
Key stat(s): Opponents are 1-for-15 vs. slider this season
2021 stats: 1-0, 3.00 ERA, 27.3 K%
Breakdown: After beginning the year with three appearances out of the bullpen, Fulmer made his first start of the season on Wednesday, tossing five solid frames against the Astros. He’s uncorked a steady dose of sliders this season, throwing it 35.0% of the time (up from 23.1% in 2020) — and for good reason. Opponents are just 1-for-15 with eight strikeouts and a 34.3% whiff rate against the offering to this point.
Colin Moran: Has homered in two of last three games and reached base in 14 of 16 games overall this season.
Orioles (Harvey) at Marlins (Neidert), 6:40 p.m. ET
Orioles SP: Matt Harvey, RHP
Key stat(s): .271 BA, .441 SLG allowed this season (.450 BA, .817 SLG last season)
2021 stats: 0-1, 5.02 ERA, 18.8 K%
Breakdown: Harvey certainly hasn’t returned to his former All-Star form, but he’s been a serviceable option for the O’s through three starts. Though he has a 5.02 ERA, his xERA is far more respectable (4.02) — and both are a far cry from the numbers he put up in 2020 (11.57 ERA, 10.77 xERA). He’s still allowing plenty of solid contact (43.8 hard-hit percentage, 89.9 mph average exit velocity), but Harvey has cut down on his home run rate (3.1% in 2021, 9.2% in ’20) and walk rate (4.7% in ’21, 7.7% in ’20).
Jazz Chisholm: One of four players hitting at least .300 with three homers and three steals, along with Ronald Acuña Jr., Trea Turner and Whit Merrifield; Chisholm is slashing .325/.451/.675 (1.126 OPS) in 14 games.
Marlins SP: Nick Neidert, RHP
Key stat(s): Nine walks in nine innings
2021 stats: 0-0, 4.00 ERA, 15.0 K%
Breakdown: Neidert has struggled with his control this season, walking nine of the 40 batters (22.5%) he’s faced. He’s also induced a career whiff rate of just 15% — well below the league average of 24.4%. In addition to ranking in the second percentile in walk rate, the Marlins right-hander ranks in the bottom-5 percentile in xwOBA and xERA, and the bottom-15 percentile in whiff percentage, K%, xBA and xSLG.
Ryan Mountcastle: 0-for-14 over last four games; hitting .180 with a .498 OPS this season.
Cedric Mullins: Hitless in three of last five games after starting season on 11-game hitting streak; still hitting .355 with .928 OPS overall.
Cardinals (Wainwright) at Nationals (Corbin), 7:05 p.m. ET
Cardinals SP: Adam Wainwright, RHP
Key stat(s): .333 opponents’ BA this season (.282 xBA)
2021 stats: 0-2, 7.11 ERA, 22.2 K%
Breakdown: Wainwright’s numbers are still a bit inflated from his rocky season debut in which he allowed six runs in just 2 2/3 innings vs. the Reds. He’s been better in his two starts since, though he did allow four runs (three earned) over five innings while striking out seven against this same Nationals club on Wednesday. Opponents are hitting at least .300 against each of Wainwright’s main four pitches, but the .316 average against his curveball (6-for-19, all singles) could be a bit misleading considering the xBA against that pitch is just .205.
Notable Nationals hitters
Juan Soto: 94.1 mph average exit velocity this season (fourth in MLB among players with 40 batted balls); .705 SLG vs. curveballs since 2019 (second in MLB during that span).
Trea Turner: .359 BA vs. curveballs since 2019 (second in MLB); 9-for-24 (.375) with two homers, two steals and a 1.131 OPS over last six games.
Nationals SP: Patrick Corbin, LHP
Key stat(s): Opponents are 5-for-9 vs. sinker with four extra-base hits this season (hit .376 vs. pitch in 2020)
2021 stats: 0-2, 21.32 ERA, 15.0 K%
Breakdown: After receiving a share of NL Cy Young Award votes in 2018 and ’19, Corbin stumbled a bit last season, finishing with a 4.66 ERA while allowing a Major League-high 85 hits. A big reason for that was opponents jumping all over his fastballs. They hit .429 against his four-seamer and .376 against his sinker. He still had his slider working (.198 opponents’ BA, 38.1% whiff rate), but it wasn’t enough to offset the damage done against his hard stuff. It’s been more of the same through two starts this season, with Corbin allowing a whopping 16 runs (15 earned) off 12 hits and seven walks in just 6 1/3 innings.
Notable Cardinals hitters
Nolan Arenado: .997 career OPS vs. LHP (.851 vs. RHP).
Paul Goldschmidt: 1.017 career OPS vs. LHP (.878 vs. RHP).
Paul DeJong: Three homers in last three games; he’s 7-for-22 (.318) over last six games after starting 3-for-31 (.097) in first nine games.
Giants (Webb) at Phillies (Wheeler), 7:05 p.m. ET
Giants SP: Logan Webb, RHP
Key stat(s): 31.5% changeup usage this season
2021 stats: 0-1, 4.76 ERA, 23.5 K%
Breakdown: The changeup has been Webb’s most-used pitch this season, though it hasn’t had the success that it did in 2020. After opponents hit just .230 against his change last season, they’re 10-for-23 (.435) with six extra-base hits, including a home run, against his changeup in 2021.
Bryce Harper: 7-for-10 with three extra-base hits in last three games; 1.020 career OPS in April (more than 100 points higher than any other month).
Jean Segura: 15-for-35 (.429) with five extra-base hits during 10-game hitting streak.
Rhys Hoskins: Hitting .154 with one homer and one RBI over last 10 games.
Phillies SP: Zack Wheeler, RHP
Key stat(s): 5-0, 2.06 ERA at home since joining Phillies (0-4, 4.17 ERA on road)
2021 stats: 1-2, 3.00 ERA, 26.7 K%
Breakdown: Wheeler has been lights out at Citizens Bank Park since joining the Phils, including in his 2021 debut when he struck out 10 over seven innings of one-hit ball against the Braves. He’s been less impressive in his two starts since — both on the road — allowing six runs off 17 hits and five walks in just 11 innings of work. Overall, he’s 5-0 with a 2.06 ERA in eight home outings with the Phillies, compared to 0-4 with a 4.17 ERA on the road.
Evan Longoria: Leads MLB with 67.6 hard-hit percentage.
Brandon Belt: Four extra-base hits (including two homers in last three games).
Blue Jays (Ryu) at Red Sox (Rodriguez), 7:10 p.m. ET
Blue Jays SP: Hyun Jin Ryu, LHP
Key stat(s): 3.4 barrel percentage allowed since start of last season (best among SP)
2021 stats: 1-1, 1.89 ERA, 26.0 K%
Breakdown: Ryu has picked up right where he left off last season, inducing plenty of weak contact and lots of ground balls. After pacing the Majors with a 3.2 barrel percentage last season, Ryu has a 3.8% mark this season, while his strikeout percentage (26%) is right in line with his last season (26.2%) and his walk percentage (2.7%) has improved (6.2% in 2020). Ryu has also induced a ground-ball rate of 57.7% — up from 52.4% each of the last two seasons.
J.D. Martinez: Has reached safely in 14 of 15 games this season, including seven multi-hit efforts; hitting .383 with six homers, 20 RBIs and a 1.239 OPS.
Rafael Devers: .735 career OPS and 2.7 HR% vs. LHP (.872 OPS, 5.3 HR% vs. RHP).
Xander Bogaerts: .308 career average and .856 OPS vs. LHP (.285 BA, .790 OPS vs. RHP).
Hunter Renfroe: 3-for-18 (.167) with seven K’s vs. Ryu.
Red Sox SP: Eduardo Rodriguez, LHP
Key stat(s): Averaging 77.5 pitches through two starts
2021 stats: 2-0, 3.60 ERA, 30.0 K%
Breakdown: After missing the 2020 season, Rodriguez has impressed in his return to the mound in ’21. He’s racked up 12 strikeouts to only one walk over 10 innings. Each of his two outings have ended after five frames, despite Rodriguez throwing only 79 and 76 pitches, respectively, in those two starts. He’ll likely get more pitches to work with as the season goes on, though his upside is a bit limited until it’s clear the Red Sox will let him go beyond 80 pitches.
Notable Blue Jays hitters
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: 4.5 career HR% vs. LHP (3.0% vs. RHP).
Bo Bichette: .337 career average, .947 OPS vs. LHP (.288 BA, .862 OPS vs. RHP); 1-for-15 in last four games.
Mets (Walker) at Cubs (Arrieta), 7:40 p.m. ET
Mets SP: Taijuan Walker, RHP
Key stat(s): 83.0 mph average exit velocity allowed (best among SP)
2021 stats: 0-0, 2.61 ERA, 29.3 K%
Breakdown: Walker has impressed through two starts with the Mets, racking up 12 strikeouts over 10 1/3 innings while limiting hard contact. His four-seamer continues to frustrate opposing batters, who are just 12-for-76 (.158) against the pitch since the start of last season. Even more important, Walker’s fastball is averaging 95.3 mph this season — a considerable jump from 93.2 mph in 2020.
Javier Báez: Only player in MLB with at least four homers and four stolen bases this season; also leads MLB with 27 K’s.
Anthony Rizzo: 9-for-18 (.500) with four extra-base hits, including two homers, during five-game hitting streak after hitting .118 with two extra-base hits over first 10 games.
Joc Pederson: 7-for-15 (.467) with three extra-base hits vs. Walker.
Cubs SP: Jake Arrieta, RHP
Key stat(s): .301 xBA, .500 xSLG allowed this season (.266 BA, .406 SLG)
2021 stats: 2-1, 3.18 ERA, 19.4 K%
Breakdown: Arrieta has given the Cubs’ rotation a boost in his return to Chicago, winning two of his first three starts, but he hasn’t regained his Cy Young-caliber form just yet. Though he has a 3.18 ERA, his xERA sits at 5.27 — higher than Arrieta’s 5.08 ERA from last season with the Phillies. His opponents’ batting average and slugging percentage numbers are both considerably lower than his expected stats based on the quality of contact he’s allowing, and his hard-hit percentage (42.3%) and average exit velocity allowed (91.7 mph) are both up from last season.
Jeff McNeil: 15-for-26 (.577) lifetime vs. Arrieta.
Francisco Lindor: Hitting .189 with one extra-base hit (a double) this season.
Brandon Nimmo: Has reached safely in all 11 games this season; hitting .447 with a .543 OBP and 1.070 OPS.
Rays (Hill) at Royals (Keller), 8:10 p.m. ET
Rays SP: Rich Hill, LHP
Key stat(s): Four homers allowed in 2021 (three in 2020)
2021 stats: 1-0, 7.53 ERA, 21.3 K%
Breakdown: Hill has allowed four runs in each of his three starts this season, two of which have lasted less than five frames. He’s also allowed at least one home run in each of those three outings — and his four homers allowed in 14 1/3 innings this season are already more than he allowed all of last year (three in 38 2/3 IP).
Whit Merrifield: He has an .867 career OPS vs. left-handed pitchers (.763 OPS vs. RHP).
Jorge Soler: Has not hit a home run in last 14 games following Opening Day homer (longest drought since 2018).
Royals SP: Brad Keller, RHP
Key stat(s): .236 opponents’ wOBA last season (third-best in MLB); .465 opponents’ wOBA this season
2021 stats: 1-1, 9.58 ERA, 14.3 K%
Breakdown: Keller has gotten off to a rocky start in 2021, but his 2.47 ERA last season was no fluke. Though he doesn’t strike many guys out, he typically limits hard contact and prevents extra-base hits, as evidenced by his .236 opponents’ wOBA last season. The only pitchers with a lower wOBA were Kenta Maeda and NL Cy Young Award winner Trevor Bauer. It was a different story through two starts this year — he allowed 10 runs off 15 hits over 4 2/3 frames — but he looked much better his last time out, limiting a potent Angels lineup to one run off four hits over 5 2/3 innings.
Joey Wendle: Has hit safely in nine of last 10 games; hitting .378 with five extra-base hits and a 1.047 OPS during that span.
Randy Arozarena: 2-for-20 with seven K’s over last five games.
Astros (Garcia) at Rockies (Gray), 8:40 p.m. ET
Astros SP: Luis Garcia, RHP
Key stat(s): Averaging 65 pitches per outing
2021 stats: 0-0, 2.35 ERA, 24.2 K%
Breakdown: After allowing two runs and striking out only one over 3 1/3 innings in an April 5 start, Garcia was stellar in an April 12 relief outing. The right-hander struck out seven and allowed only two hits over 4 1/3 innings, throwing 62 pitches in the process. He’ll return to the rotation for this one, though it’s unclear what kind of pitch count he will be on, having yet to throw more than 68 pitches this season.
Trevor Story: Hasn’t homered in 27 straight games dating to last season (longest streak of his career; previous long was 17 games).
Rockies SP: Jon Gray, RHP
Key stat(s): 23.1 K% through three starts
2021 stats: 1-1, 2.87 ERA, 23.1 K%
Breakdown: Gray’s 23.1 K% through two starts may not jump off the page, but it’s certainly an encouraging sign after what happened last year. Gray, who has a 23.8 career K%, struck out just 12.6% of the batters he faced in 2020 en route to finishing with a 6.69 ERA in eight starts. He’s already recorded 10 strikeouts with his slider, surpassing his total from all of last season (nine).
Alex Bregman, Yordan Alvarez and Martín Maldonado: Expected to be activated from COVID-19 injured list and return to lineup, a source told MLB.com. Jose Altuve remains on IL.
Rangers (Lyles) at Angels (Ohtani), 9:38 p.m. ET
Rangers SP: Jordan Lyles, RHP
Key stat(s): 94.1 mph average exit velocity allowed (highest among pitchers with at least 40 batted balls)
2021 stats: 1-0, 4.70 ERA, 20.3 K%
Breakdown: Though he’s yet to allow more than three runs in an outing, Lyles has been hit hard in each of his three starts this season — and his 94.1 mph average exit velocity allowed is the highest in the Majors among pitchers to have at least 40 balls put in play. Of the 47 batted balls against Lyles, 24 have qualified as hard-hit (exit velocity of at least 95 mph). Since the start of last season, opposing batters are hitting .336 with 12 home runs and a .672 slugging percentage against Lyles’ four-seamer.
Mike Trout: Failed to reach base for the first time this season on Monday (0-for-4, three K’s); still ranks second in barrel percentage (24.1%) and third in hard-hit percentage (62.1%).
Shohei Ohtani: Not expected to be in batting order for this pitching appearance.
Angels SP: Shohei Ohtani, RHP
Key stat(s): 75-pitch limit
2021 stats: 0-0, 1.93 ERA, 31.8 K%
Breakdown: Ohtani is expected to be on a pitch count of approximately 75 pitches and he will not bat in the lineup in his return to the mound. It will be his first pitching appearance since April 4, as a blister has limited him to hitting duties since that outing. Though we’ve seen him on the mound only once this season, Ohtani’s upside was on full display, as his fastball reached 101.1 mph, and White Sox hitters went a combined 0-for-9 with seven strikeouts and a 50% whiff rate against his slider and splitter.
Joey Gallo: 7-for-36 (.194) with three homers and 27 K’s against pitches 98 mph or faster.
David Dahl: 1-for-17 (.059) with five K’s in his career vs. splitters.
Brewers (Burnes) at Padres (Paddack), 10:10 p.m. ET
Brewers SP: Corbin Burnes, RHP
Key stat(s): 30 K’s, zero walks this season
2021 stats: 1-1, 0.49 ERA, 48.4 K%
Breakdown: Burnes’ transformation into one of the most dominant pitchers in the big leagues has continued this season, with the right-hander racking up 30 strikeouts without issuing a single walk through three starts. He has a 39.1 K% since the start of last season, which is third-best in the Majors behind only Shane Bieber and Jacob deGrom. Burnes is the only pitcher since at least 1901 to turn in three consecutive starts — at any point in the season — of at least six innings while allowing two or fewer baserunners. The Padres obviously have one of the most dangerous lineups in MLB, but play their hitters at your own risk in this one.
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1-for-16 since returning from left shoulder injury.
Manny Machado: Ranks second in MLB in average exit velocity (95.7 mph) and hard-hit percentage (67.3%).
Eric Hosmer: .826 career OPS vs. RHP (.665 vs. LHP).
Padres SP: Chris Paddack, RHP
Key stat(s): Zero home runs allowed in three starts
2021 stats: 1-1, 4.15 ERA, 16.9 K%
Breakdown: After allowing 14 home runs last season (tied for second-most in NL), Paddack has yet to serve up a homer through three starts in 2021. The key has been an improved fastball, as 10 of the 14 home runs last season came against Paddack’s four-seamer, with opponents hitting .308 with a .658 slugging percentage and 92.7 mph average exit velocity against the pitch. This season, opponents are hitting just .241 with a .310 SLG and an 88.5 mph average exit velocity. Paddack’s ERA is still a bit high and his strikeout numbers (16.9 K%) aren’t where they were during his 2019 breakout season (26.9 K%), but limiting homers — particularly with his fastball — will be the key moving forward.
Keston Hiura: Has at least one strikeout in all 14 games this season; hitting .128 with one home run and one stolen base.
Omar Narváez: 4-for-18 (.222) over last six games after hitting .455 with two homers in first seven games.