When Jazz Chisholm Jr. knocked a two-out three-run homer to straightaway center in a four-run third, it gave Miami a 90 percent win probability. His first career MLB tater also came in Atlanta last September. But the Marlins didn’t score again until extras as the Braves chipped away.
After Acuña’s first long ball, which cut the deficit to 5-2 with two out in the third, the probability of a Miami victory was still 82 percent. It stayed relatively consistent until Ender Inciarte led off the seventh with a single, reaching base for the third time. Two batters later, Acuña swung things in Atlanta’s favor (55 percent) with his second homer of the game to tie it at 5.
Acuña has 19 career homers in 47 games against the Marlins, his most against any club.